ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data
Where is it warm in November?
Ranked by historical clear-sky percentage from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025, 55 destinations). Palm Springs Desert leads at 72% clear days (n=240). Every percentage below has its sample size beside it.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
A destination that is historically 90% clear in November can still be overcast
this specific November. For this week’s actual forecast, each
destination links to its live page.
| # | Destination | Early November (1st–15th, n) |
Late November (16th–end, n) |
Month avg | Avg high | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palm Springs Desert CA | 78% (n=120) | 65% (n=120) | 72% | 78°F | Palm Springs Desert clears solidly in this month — 72% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 78°F. |
| 2 | Palm Desert CA | 78% (n=120) | 58% (n=120) | 68% | 76°F | Palm Desert clears solidly in this month — 68% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 76°F. |
| 3 | Scottsdale AZ | 78% (n=120) | 52% (n=120) | 65% | 77°F | Scottsdale clears solidly in this month — 65% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 77°F. |
| 4 | Palm Springs CA | 75% (n=120) | 52% (n=120) | 64% | 76°F | Palm Springs clears solidly in this month — 64% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 76°F. |
| 5 | Phoenix AZ | 78% (n=120) | 48% (n=120) | 63% | 77°F | Phoenix clears solidly in this month — 63% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 77°F. |
| 6 | Los Angeles CA | 73% (n=120) | 49% (n=120) | 61% | 74°F | Los Angeles clears solidly in this month — 61% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 74°F. |
| 7 | Scottsdale Desert Ridge AZ | 75% (n=120) | 42% (n=120) | 58% | 76°F | Scottsdale Desert Ridge is mixed in this month: clear 58% of days historically (n=240), avg high 76°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 8 | Tucson AZ | 73% (n=120) | 38% (n=120) | 56% | 75°F | Tucson is mixed in this month: clear 56% of days historically (n=240), avg high 75°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 9 | Santa Barbara CA | 65% (n=120) | 32% (n=120) | 48% | 72°F | Santa Barbara is mixed in this month: clear 48% of days historically (n=240), avg high 72°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 10 | Naples FL | 34% (n=120) | 54% (n=120) | 44% | 81°F | Naples is mixed in this month: clear 44% of days historically (n=240), avg high 81°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 11 | Sarasota FL | 38% (n=120) | 47% (n=120) | 42% | 76°F | Sarasota is mixed in this month: clear 42% of days historically (n=240), avg high 76°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 12 | Tampa FL | 40% (n=120) | 42% (n=120) | 41% | 78°F | Tampa is mixed in this month: clear 41% of days historically (n=240), avg high 78°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 13 | San Luis Obispo CA | 52% (n=120) | 28% (n=120) | 40% | 71°F | San Luis Obispo is mixed in this month: clear 40% of days historically (n=240), avg high 71°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 14 | Las Vegas NV | 57% (n=120) | 10% (n=120) | 34% | 68°F | Las Vegas is mostly overcast this month historically: only 34% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 68°F. |
| 15 | Marfa TX | 52% (n=120) | 17% (n=120) | 34% | 68°F | Marfa is mostly overcast this month historically: only 34% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 68°F. |
| 16 | San Antonio TX | 39% (n=120) | 27% (n=120) | 33% | 72°F | San Antonio is mostly overcast this month historically: only 33% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 72°F. |
| 17 | Orlando FL | 25% (n=120) | 40% (n=120) | 32% | 76°F | Orlando is mostly overcast this month historically: only 32% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 76°F. |
| 18 | Key West FL | 22% (n=120) | 39% (n=120) | 30% | 78°F | Key West is mostly overcast this month historically: only 30% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 78°F. |
| 19 | Palm Beach FL | 18% (n=120) | 42% (n=120) | 30% | 80°F | Palm Beach is mostly overcast this month historically: only 30% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 80°F. |
| 20 | San Diego CA | 38% (n=120) | 19% (n=120) | 28% | 70°F | San Diego is mostly overcast this month historically: only 28% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 70°F. → Try August |
| 21 | Fort Lauderdale FL | 14% (n=120) | 38% (n=120) | 26% | 80°F | Fort Lauderdale is mostly overcast this month historically: only 26% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 80°F. → Try March |
| 22 | Panama City Beach FL | 34% (n=120) | 17% (n=120) | 26% | 71°F | Panama City Beach is mostly overcast this month historically: only 26% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 71°F. → Try October |
| 23 | Austin TX | 32% (n=120) | 18% (n=120) | 25% | 71°F | Austin is mostly overcast this month historically: only 25% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 71°F. → Try October |
| 24 | Houston TX | 32% (n=120) | 18% (n=120) | 25% | 72°F | Houston is mostly overcast this month historically: only 25% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 72°F. → Try October |
| 25 | Miami FL | 12% (n=120) | 38% (n=120) | 25% | 80°F | Miami is mostly overcast this month historically: only 25% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 80°F. → Try March |
| 26 | Jacksonville FL | 23% (n=120) | 26% (n=120) | 24% | 72°F | Jacksonville is mostly overcast this month historically: only 24% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 72°F. → Try April |
| 27 | St. Augustine FL | 22% (n=120) | 24% (n=120) | 23% | 72°F | St. Augustine is mostly overcast this month historically: only 23% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 72°F. → Try April |
| 28 | Gulf Shores AL | 27% (n=120) | 17% (n=120) | 22% | 70°F | Gulf Shores is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 70°F. → Try October |
| 29 | Newport Beach CA | 31% (n=120) | 12% (n=120) | 22% | 68°F | Newport Beach is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 68°F. → Try August |
| 30 | Dallas TX | 27% (n=120) | 15% (n=120) | 21% | 68°F | Dallas is mostly overcast this month historically: only 21% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 68°F. → Try August |
| 31 | Amelia Island FL | 19% (n=120) | 20% (n=120) | 20% | 71°F | Amelia Island is mostly overcast this month historically: only 20% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 71°F. → Try April |
| 32 | Destin FL | 25% (n=120) | 16% (n=120) | 20% | 71°F | Destin is mostly overcast this month historically: only 20% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 71°F. → Try October |
| 33 | Napa CA | 35% (n=120) | 2% (n=120) | 18% | 66°F | Napa is poor for sun this month: just 18% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try July |
| 34 | Savannah GA | 23% (n=120) | 14% (n=120) | 18% | 70°F | Savannah is poor for sun this month: just 18% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 35 | Sea Island GA | 22% (n=120) | 12% (n=120) | 17% | 70°F | Sea Island is poor for sun this month: just 17% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 36 | Wine Country Sonoma CA | 31% (n=120) | 2% (n=120) | 16% | 65°F | Wine Country Sonoma is poor for sun this month: just 16% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try July |
| 37 | Big Sur CA | 21% (n=120) | 8% (n=120) | 14% | 64°F | Big Sur is poor for sun this month: just 14% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 38 | Kiawah Island SC | 20% (n=120) | 7% (n=120) | 14% | 68°F | Kiawah Island is poor for sun this month: just 14% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 39 | Sedona AZ | 27% (n=120) | 2% (n=120) | 14% | 62°F | Sedona is poor for sun this month: just 14% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try June |
| 40 | Charleston SC | 18% (n=120) | 6% (n=120) | 12% | 68°F | Charleston is poor for sun this month: just 12% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 41 | Hilton Head SC | 18% (n=120) | 7% (n=120) | 12% | 68°F | Hilton Head is poor for sun this month: just 12% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 42 | Charlotte NC | 9% (n=120) | 2% (n=120) | 6% | 62°F | Charlotte is poor for sun this month: just 6% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try September |
| 43 | Nashville TN | 12% (n=120) | 1% (n=120) | 6% | 60°F | Nashville is poor for sun this month: just 6% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try September |
| 44 | Albuquerque NM | 9% (n=120) | 1% (n=120) | 5% | 58°F | Albuquerque is poor for sun this month: just 5% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try May |
| 45 | Asheville NC | 7% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 4% | 58°F | Asheville is historically very rarely clear this month: only 4% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try September |
| 46 | Carmel-by-the-Sea CA | 6% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 3% | 62°F | Carmel-by-the-Sea is historically very rarely clear this month: only 3% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try October |
| 47 | Moab UT | 4% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 2% | 54°F | Moab is historically very rarely clear this month: only 2% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 48 | Outer Banks NC | 2% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 1% | 64°F | Outer Banks is historically very rarely clear this month: only 1% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 49 | Aspen CO | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 42°F | Aspen is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try August |
| 50 | Jackson Hole WY | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 39°F | Jackson Hole is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 51 | Lake Tahoe CA | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 48°F | Lake Tahoe is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 52 | Park City UT | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 41°F | Park City is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 53 | Santa Fe NM | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 50°F | Santa Fe is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 54 | Taos NM | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 50°F | Taos is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 55 | Vail CO | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=120) | 0% | 39°F | Vail is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try August |
Honest note on the bottom of this list: Vail is historically 0% clear in November (n=240 days). That is not a soft number — it means roughly 0 days out of every 100 historically meet our clear bar here in this month. If you want Vail, try August instead.
Every month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.