ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data
Where is it warm in February?
Ranked by historical clear-sky percentage from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025, 55 destinations). Palm Springs Desert leads at 50% clear days (n=226). Every percentage below has its sample size beside it.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
A destination that is historically 90% clear in February can still be overcast
this specific February. For this week’s actual forecast, each
destination links to its live page.
| # | Destination | Early February (1st–15th, n) |
Late February (16th–end, n) |
Month avg | Avg high | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palm Springs Desert CA | 47% (n=120) | 54% (n=106) | 50% | 71°F | Palm Springs Desert is mixed in this month: clear 50% of days historically (n=226), avg high 71°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 2 | Palm Desert CA | 42% (n=120) | 50% (n=106) | 46% | 71°F | Palm Desert is mixed in this month: clear 46% of days historically (n=226), avg high 71°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 3 | Scottsdale AZ | 43% (n=120) | 40% (n=106) | 42% | 70°F | Scottsdale is mixed in this month: clear 42% of days historically (n=226), avg high 70°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 4 | Naples FL | 38% (n=120) | 44% (n=106) | 41% | 79°F | Naples is mixed in this month: clear 41% of days historically (n=226), avg high 79°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 5 | Phoenix AZ | 42% (n=120) | 40% (n=106) | 41% | 70°F | Phoenix is mixed in this month: clear 41% of days historically (n=226), avg high 70°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 6 | Palm Springs CA | 38% (n=120) | 43% (n=106) | 40% | 70°F | Palm Springs is mixed in this month: clear 40% of days historically (n=226), avg high 70°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 7 | Tampa FL | 39% (n=120) | 42% (n=106) | 40% | 76°F | Tampa is mixed in this month: clear 40% of days historically (n=226), avg high 76°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 8 | Sarasota FL | 33% (n=120) | 43% (n=106) | 38% | 74°F | Sarasota is mostly overcast this month historically: only 38% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 74°F. |
| 9 | Tucson AZ | 40% (n=120) | 36% (n=106) | 38% | 69°F | Tucson is mostly overcast this month historically: only 38% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 69°F. |
| 10 | Key West FL | 38% (n=120) | 35% (n=106) | 37% | 74°F | Key West is mostly overcast this month historically: only 37% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 74°F. |
| 11 | Scottsdale Desert Ridge AZ | 36% (n=120) | 33% (n=106) | 35% | 68°F | Scottsdale Desert Ridge is mostly overcast this month historically: only 35% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 68°F. |
| 12 | Orlando FL | 28% (n=120) | 39% (n=106) | 33% | 76°F | Orlando is mostly overcast this month historically: only 33% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 76°F. |
| 13 | Jacksonville FL | 20% (n=120) | 35% (n=106) | 27% | 71°F | Jacksonville is mostly overcast this month historically: only 27% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 71°F. → Try April |
| 14 | Los Angeles CA | 23% (n=120) | 32% (n=106) | 27% | 68°F | Los Angeles is mostly overcast this month historically: only 27% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 68°F. → Try July |
| 15 | Palm Beach FL | 28% (n=120) | 25% (n=106) | 27% | 77°F | Palm Beach is mostly overcast this month historically: only 27% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 77°F. → Try March |
| 16 | Fort Lauderdale FL | 28% (n=120) | 23% (n=106) | 26% | 77°F | Fort Lauderdale is mostly overcast this month historically: only 26% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 77°F. → Try March |
| 17 | Miami FL | 28% (n=120) | 23% (n=106) | 26% | 77°F | Miami is mostly overcast this month historically: only 26% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 77°F. → Try March |
| 18 | Amelia Island FL | 18% (n=120) | 26% (n=106) | 22% | 68°F | Amelia Island is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 68°F. → Try April |
| 19 | Santa Barbara CA | 22% (n=120) | 22% (n=106) | 22% | 66°F | Santa Barbara is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 66°F. → Try August |
| 20 | St. Augustine FL | 18% (n=120) | 27% (n=106) | 22% | 69°F | St. Augustine is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=226), avg high 69°F. → Try April |
| 21 | Marfa TX | 14% (n=120) | 25% (n=106) | 19% | 65°F | Marfa is poor for sun this month: just 19% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try April |
| 22 | San Antonio TX | 15% (n=120) | 23% (n=106) | 19% | 68°F | San Antonio is poor for sun this month: just 19% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 23 | San Luis Obispo CA | 17% (n=120) | 19% (n=106) | 18% | 64°F | San Luis Obispo is poor for sun this month: just 18% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 24 | Savannah GA | 11% (n=120) | 21% (n=106) | 16% | 67°F | Savannah is poor for sun this month: just 16% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 25 | Austin TX | 11% (n=120) | 20% (n=106) | 15% | 65°F | Austin is poor for sun this month: just 15% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 26 | Las Vegas NV | 17% (n=120) | 12% (n=106) | 15% | 63°F | Las Vegas is poor for sun this month: just 15% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try June |
| 27 | San Diego CA | 14% (n=120) | 9% (n=106) | 12% | 64°F | San Diego is poor for sun this month: just 12% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 28 | Dallas TX | 8% (n=120) | 14% (n=106) | 11% | 60°F | Dallas is poor for sun this month: just 11% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 29 | Hilton Head SC | 6% (n=120) | 15% (n=106) | 10% | 64°F | Hilton Head is poor for sun this month: just 10% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 30 | Napa CA | 12% (n=120) | 7% (n=106) | 10% | 61°F | Napa is poor for sun this month: just 10% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try July |
| 31 | Sea Island GA | 3% (n=120) | 13% (n=106) | 8% | 65°F | Sea Island is poor for sun this month: just 8% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 32 | Wine Country Sonoma CA | 11% (n=120) | 4% (n=106) | 8% | 60°F | Wine Country Sonoma is poor for sun this month: just 8% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try July |
| 33 | Destin FL | 3% (n=120) | 11% (n=106) | 7% | 67°F | Destin is poor for sun this month: just 7% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 34 | Houston TX | 5% (n=120) | 8% (n=106) | 6% | 67°F | Houston is poor for sun this month: just 6% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 35 | Kiawah Island SC | 4% (n=120) | 8% (n=106) | 6% | 64°F | Kiawah Island is poor for sun this month: just 6% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 36 | Newport Beach CA | 5% (n=120) | 7% (n=106) | 6% | 63°F | Newport Beach is poor for sun this month: just 6% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 37 | Big Sur CA | 10% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 5% | 60°F | Big Sur is poor for sun this month: just 5% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 38 | Charleston SC | 2% (n=120) | 8% (n=106) | 5% | 63°F | Charleston is poor for sun this month: just 5% of days clear historically (n=226). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 39 | Panama City Beach FL | 1% (n=120) | 8% (n=106) | 4% | 66°F | Panama City Beach is historically very rarely clear this month: only 4% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try October |
| 40 | Carmel-by-the-Sea CA | 4% (n=120) | 1% (n=106) | 3% | 58°F | Carmel-by-the-Sea is historically very rarely clear this month: only 3% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try October |
| 41 | Gulf Shores AL | 1% (n=120) | 6% (n=106) | 3% | 66°F | Gulf Shores is historically very rarely clear this month: only 3% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try October |
| 42 | Asheville NC | 1% (n=120) | 1% (n=106) | 1% | 54°F | Asheville is historically very rarely clear this month: only 1% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try September |
| 43 | Charlotte NC | 1% (n=120) | 1% (n=106) | 1% | 58°F | Charlotte is historically very rarely clear this month: only 1% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try September |
| 44 | Nashville TN | 0% (n=120) | 2% (n=106) | 1% | 55°F | Nashville is historically very rarely clear this month: only 1% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try September |
| 45 | Sedona AZ | 0% (n=120) | 2% (n=106) | 1% | 56°F | Sedona is historically very rarely clear this month: only 1% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 46 | Albuquerque NM | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 54°F | Albuquerque is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try May |
| 47 | Aspen CO | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 35°F | Aspen is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try August |
| 48 | Jackson Hole WY | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 32°F | Jackson Hole is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 49 | Lake Tahoe CA | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 39°F | Lake Tahoe is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 50 | Moab UT | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 50°F | Moab is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 51 | Outer Banks NC | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 54°F | Outer Banks is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 52 | Park City UT | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 32°F | Park City is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try July |
| 53 | Santa Fe NM | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 42°F | Santa Fe is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 54 | Taos NM | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 41°F | Taos is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try June |
| 55 | Vail CO | 0% (n=120) | 0% (n=106) | 0% | 32°F | Vail is historically very rarely clear this month: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Plan for clouds. → Try August |
Honest note on the bottom of this list: Vail is historically 0% clear in February (n=226 days). That is not a soft number — it means roughly 0 days out of every 100 historically meet our clear bar here in this month. If you want Vail, try August instead.
Every month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.