ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data
Where is it warm in June?
Ranked by historical clear-sky percentage from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025, 55 destinations). Palm Springs leads with 99% historically clear days in this month (n=240). Every percentage below has its sample size beside it.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
A destination that is historically 90% clear in June can still be overcast
this specific June. For this week’s actual forecast, each
destination links to its live page.
| # | Destination | Early June (1st–15th, n) |
Late June (16th–end, n) |
Month avg | Avg high | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palm Springs CA | 98% (n=120) | 100% (n=120) | 99% | 102°F | Palm Springs is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 99% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 2 | Palm Desert CA | 98% (n=120) | 98% (n=120) | 98% | 104°F | Palm Desert is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 98% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 3 | Palm Springs Desert CA | 98% (n=120) | 99% (n=120) | 98% | 104°F | Palm Springs Desert is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 98% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 4 | Las Vegas NV | 93% (n=120) | 97% (n=120) | 95% | 102°F | Las Vegas is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 95% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 5 | Scottsdale AZ | 97% (n=120) | 93% (n=120) | 95% | 105°F | Scottsdale is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 95% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 6 | Napa CA | 91% (n=120) | 97% (n=120) | 94% | 84°F | Napa is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 94% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 7 | Phoenix AZ | 97% (n=120) | 91% (n=120) | 94% | 105°F | Phoenix is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 94% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 8 | Scottsdale Desert Ridge AZ | 97% (n=120) | 92% (n=120) | 94% | 103°F | Scottsdale Desert Ridge is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 94% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 9 | Wine Country Sonoma CA | 85% (n=120) | 95% (n=120) | 90% | 82°F | Wine Country Sonoma is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 90% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 10 | Tucson AZ | 95% (n=120) | 83% (n=120) | 89% | 101°F | Tucson is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 89% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 11 | Los Angeles CA | 83% (n=120) | 94% (n=120) | 88% | 82°F | Los Angeles is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 88% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 12 | Moab UT | 90% (n=120) | 87% (n=120) | 88% | 93°F | Moab is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 88% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 13 | Sedona AZ | 92% (n=120) | 83% (n=120) | 88% | 91°F | Sedona is historically one of the clearest places in this month: 88% of days meet the clear bar on average across 8 years (n=240). |
| 14 | Albuquerque NM | 77% (n=120) | 79% (n=120) | 78% | 92°F | Albuquerque clears solidly in this month — 78% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 92°F. |
| 15 | Marfa TX | 70% (n=120) | 71% (n=120) | 70% | 92°F | Marfa clears solidly in this month — 70% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 92°F. |
| 16 | Santa Barbara CA | 68% (n=120) | 71% (n=120) | 70% | 78°F | Santa Barbara clears solidly in this month — 70% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 78°F. |
| 17 | Taos NM | 63% (n=120) | 65% (n=120) | 64% | 82°F | Taos clears solidly in this month — 64% of days on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 82°F. |
| 18 | Santa Fe NM | 59% (n=120) | 56% (n=120) | 58% | 81°F | Santa Fe is mixed in this month: clear 58% of days historically (n=240), avg high 81°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 19 | San Luis Obispo CA | 52% (n=120) | 55% (n=120) | 54% | 74°F | San Luis Obispo is mixed in this month: clear 54% of days historically (n=240), avg high 74°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 20 | Lake Tahoe CA | 40% (n=120) | 55% (n=120) | 48% | 72°F | Lake Tahoe is mixed in this month: clear 48% of days historically (n=240), avg high 72°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 21 | Outer Banks NC | 38% (n=120) | 56% (n=120) | 47% | 78°F | Outer Banks is mixed in this month: clear 47% of days historically (n=240), avg high 78°F. Check the halves — the split can be wide. |
| 22 | Dallas TX | 36% (n=120) | 39% (n=120) | 38% | 91°F | Dallas is mostly overcast this month historically: only 38% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 91°F. |
| 23 | San Diego CA | 30% (n=120) | 45% (n=120) | 38% | 72°F | San Diego is mostly overcast this month historically: only 38% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 72°F. |
| 24 | Charlotte NC | 32% (n=120) | 40% (n=120) | 36% | 87°F | Charlotte is mostly overcast this month historically: only 36% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 87°F. |
| 25 | Aspen CO | 33% (n=120) | 35% (n=120) | 34% | 74°F | Aspen is mostly overcast this month historically: only 34% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 74°F. |
| 26 | Austin TX | 36% (n=120) | 27% (n=120) | 32% | 93°F | Austin is mostly overcast this month historically: only 32% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 93°F. |
| 27 | Park City UT | 33% (n=120) | 30% (n=120) | 32% | 72°F | Park City is mostly overcast this month historically: only 32% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 72°F. |
| 28 | San Antonio TX | 32% (n=120) | 30% (n=120) | 31% | 94°F | San Antonio is mostly overcast this month historically: only 31% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 94°F. |
| 29 | Asheville NC | 32% (n=120) | 28% (n=120) | 30% | 81°F | Asheville is mostly overcast this month historically: only 30% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 81°F. |
| 30 | Jackson Hole WY | 25% (n=120) | 34% (n=120) | 30% | 70°F | Jackson Hole is mostly overcast this month historically: only 30% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 70°F. |
| 31 | Nashville TN | 34% (n=120) | 26% (n=120) | 30% | 86°F | Nashville is mostly overcast this month historically: only 30% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 86°F. |
| 32 | Vail CO | 26% (n=120) | 33% (n=120) | 30% | 70°F | Vail is mostly overcast this month historically: only 30% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 70°F. |
| 33 | Newport Beach CA | 19% (n=120) | 31% (n=120) | 25% | 70°F | Newport Beach is mostly overcast this month historically: only 25% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 70°F. → Try August |
| 34 | Savannah GA | 20% (n=120) | 28% (n=120) | 24% | 88°F | Savannah is mostly overcast this month historically: only 24% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 88°F. → Try October |
| 35 | Sea Island GA | 24% (n=120) | 25% (n=120) | 24% | 85°F | Sea Island is mostly overcast this month historically: only 24% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 85°F. → Try October |
| 36 | Charleston SC | 20% (n=120) | 23% (n=120) | 22% | 85°F | Charleston is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 85°F. → Try October |
| 37 | Kiawah Island SC | 21% (n=120) | 22% (n=120) | 22% | 84°F | Kiawah Island is mostly overcast this month historically: only 22% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 84°F. → Try October |
| 38 | Hilton Head SC | 17% (n=120) | 24% (n=120) | 20% | 86°F | Hilton Head is mostly overcast this month historically: only 20% of days clear on average across 8 years (n=240), avg high 86°F. → Try October |
| 39 | Houston TX | 22% (n=120) | 16% (n=120) | 19% | 90°F | Houston is poor for sun this month: just 19% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 40 | Amelia Island FL | 16% (n=120) | 19% (n=120) | 18% | 86°F | Amelia Island is poor for sun this month: just 18% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try April |
| 41 | Panama City Beach FL | 18% (n=120) | 17% (n=120) | 18% | 85°F | Panama City Beach is poor for sun this month: just 18% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 42 | Big Sur CA | 20% (n=120) | 13% (n=120) | 16% | 67°F | Big Sur is poor for sun this month: just 16% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try August |
| 43 | Gulf Shores AL | 19% (n=120) | 12% (n=120) | 16% | 86°F | Gulf Shores is poor for sun this month: just 16% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 44 | Jacksonville FL | 16% (n=120) | 14% (n=120) | 15% | 88°F | Jacksonville is poor for sun this month: just 15% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try April |
| 45 | Destin FL | 16% (n=120) | 11% (n=120) | 14% | 86°F | Destin is poor for sun this month: just 14% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try October |
| 46 | Key West FL | 12% (n=120) | 16% (n=120) | 14% | 84°F | Key West is poor for sun this month: just 14% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try March |
| 47 | St. Augustine FL | 17% (n=120) | 12% (n=120) | 14% | 85°F | St. Augustine is poor for sun this month: just 14% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try April |
| 48 | Sarasota FL | 5% (n=120) | 12% (n=120) | 8% | 86°F | Sarasota is poor for sun this month: just 8% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try April |
| 49 | Naples FL | 6% (n=120) | 8% (n=120) | 7% | 87°F | Naples is poor for sun this month: just 7% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try March |
| 50 | Orlando FL | 6% (n=120) | 8% (n=120) | 7% | 88°F | Orlando is poor for sun this month: just 7% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try March |
| 51 | Palm Beach FL | 6% (n=120) | 8% (n=120) | 7% | 86°F | Palm Beach is poor for sun this month: just 7% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try March |
| 52 | Tampa FL | 5% (n=120) | 8% (n=120) | 6% | 88°F | Tampa is poor for sun this month: just 6% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try April |
| 53 | Fort Lauderdale FL | 4% (n=120) | 6% (n=120) | 5% | 86°F | Fort Lauderdale is poor for sun this month: just 5% of days clear historically (n=240). The 8-year record says to look elsewhere. → Try March |
| 54 | Carmel-by-the-Sea CA | 5% (n=120) | 2% (n=120) | 4% | 62°F | Carmel-by-the-Sea is historically very rarely clear this month: only 4% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try October |
| 55 | Miami FL | 2% (n=120) | 3% (n=120) | 2% | 86°F | Miami is historically very rarely clear this month: only 2% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=240). Plan for clouds. → Try March |
Honest note on the bottom of this list: Miami is historically 2% clear in June (n=240 days). That is not a soft number — it means roughly 2 days out of every 100 historically meet our clear bar here in this month. If you want Miami, try March instead.
Every month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.