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SunnyDays

Colorado · EGE

Vail weather this week

Vail, Colorado

Vail scores 7.7 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7. Dull days (5) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week.

7.7/10
Mostly dull
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7c5533f6b200> genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 2 wet, 0 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 2 vs dull days 5. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

2 clear of 7 days · best run 6 days — The clouds are winning — 2 bright days out of 7

The next 7 days in Vail

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (56%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Vail daily forecast, Thu 6 Aug to Sat 8 Aug. Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 6.6. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
82°F 51°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear and perfect
84°F 60°F 0% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear and perfect
87°F 55°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Cloudy but warm & dry
87°F 56°F 5% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
82°F 55°F 29% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
87°F 52°F 40% Overcast cloudy 7.4
Cloudy with rain risk
84°F 55°F 56% Overcast cloudy 6.6
Cloudy with rain risk

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 2 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 7.9 × 0.55 = 4.37
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 6.6 × 0.25 = 1.65 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/7 = 86% coverage × 0.20 = 1.71
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-06→2026-08-08) scores 9.3 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 4/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 2 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Vail

The nearest airport we price is EGE. From New York City that is about 3h 56m in the air out of EWR, 1721 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Vail

1 property we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

  • The Sebastian - Vail
    5-star · guest rating 8.9/10
    $852per night$2,557 total

So, should you go?

Vail scores 7.7 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7. Dull days (5) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Vail by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Vail: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 0% n=226 all destinations →
March 0% n=248 all destinations →
April 0% n=240 all destinations →
May 0% n=248 all destinations →
June 30% n=240 all destinations →
July 36% n=248 all destinations →
August 46% n=248 all destinations →
September 23% n=240 all destinations →
October 0% n=248 all destinations →
November 0% n=240 all destinations →
December 0% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Vail in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.