Skip to main content
SunnyDays

Arizona · PHX

Scottsdale weather this week

Scottsdale, Arizona

Scottsdale scores 3.6 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7.

3.6/10
Wet, and no sun
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7c5533f1e3c0> genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 4 wet, 0 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 0 vs dull days 7. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

3 cloudy / 4 wet days, no clear days in 7 — You will get rained on — 4 wet days of 7

The next 7 days in Scottsdale

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (29%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Scottsdale daily forecast, Thu 6 Aug to Sat 8 Aug. Best single day scores 5.4; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
107°F 86°F 16% Overcast cloudy 5.3
Cloudy and dry
111°F 86°F 19% Overcast cloudy 4.6
Cloudy and dry
110°F 92°F 11% Drizzle wet 4.0
Drizzle - expect to get wet
108°F 90°F 29% Overcast cloudy 4.6
Cloudy with rain risk
107°F 84°F 24% Drizzle wet 4.1
Drizzle - expect to get wet
103°F 82°F 10% Light drizzle wet 5.4
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
103°F 91°F 18% Drizzle wet 5.0
Drizzle - expect to get wet

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 4 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 4.7 × 0.55 = 2.60
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 4.0 × 0.25 = 1.00 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 0/7 = 0% coverage × 0.20 = 0.00
  • Best single day is 5.4 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-06→2026-08-08) scores 3.5 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 5/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 0 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Scottsdale

The nearest airport we price is PHX. From New York City that is about 4h 45m in the air out of EWR, 2128 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Scottsdale

3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

  • Mountain Shadows Resort Scottsdale
    5-star · guest rating 9.6/10
    $161per night$484 total
  • Hilton North Scottsdale At Cavasson
    4-star · guest rating 9.4/10 · Hilton Hotels & Resorts
    $153per night$458 total
  • Hotel Valley Ho
    4-star · guest rating 9.3/10
    $134per night$401 total

So, should you go?

Scottsdale scores 3.6 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Scottsdale by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Scottsdale: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 18% n=248 all destinations →
February 42% n=226 all destinations →
March 57% n=248 all destinations →
April 92% n=240 all destinations →
May 93% n=248 all destinations →
June 95% n=240 all destinations →
July 76% n=248 all destinations →
August 75% n=248 all destinations →
September 82% n=240 all destinations →
October 83% n=248 all destinations →
November 65% n=240 all destinations →
December 25% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Scottsdale in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.