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SunnyDays

Arizona · PHX

Phoenix weather this week

Phoenix, Arizona

Phoenix scores 3.5 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7.

3.5/10
Wet, and no sun
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7c5533f2f0c0> genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 5 wet, 0 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 0 vs dull days 7. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

2 cloudy / 5 wet days, no clear days in 7 — You will get rained on — 5 wet days of 7

The next 7 days in Phoenix

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (26%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Phoenix daily forecast, Thu 6 Aug to Sat 8 Aug. Best single day scores 5.3; worst scores 3.7. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
107°F 88°F 16% Overcast cloudy 5.3
Cloudy and dry
112°F 85°F 16% Overcast cloudy 4.7
Cloudy and dry
111°F 94°F 14% Light drizzle wet 4.1
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
109°F 91°F 23% Light drizzle wet 4.0
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
108°F 90°F 26% Heavy drizzle wet 3.7
Heavy drizzle - expect to get wet
104°F 84°F 11% Light drizzle wet 5.3
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
104°F 91°F 18% Drizzle wet 4.9
Drizzle - expect to get wet

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 5 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 4.6 × 0.55 = 2.53
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 3.7 × 0.25 = 0.93 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 0/7 = 0% coverage × 0.20 = 0.00
  • Best single day is 5.3 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-06→2026-08-08) scores 3.6 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 5/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 0 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Phoenix

The nearest airport we price is PHX. From New York City that is about 4h 45m in the air out of EWR, 2128 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Phoenix

3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

  • Arizona Biltmore, LXR Hotels & Resorts
    5-star · guest rating 9.2/10 · LXR Hotels & Resorts · Five-Star Property, LXR Hotels & Resorts (Hilton)
    $240per night$721 total
  • FOUNDRE Phoenix
    4-star · guest rating 9.0/10 · Independent
    $149per night$446 total
  • The Legacy Golf Resort
    4-star · guest rating 8.7/10
    $79.16per night$237 total

So, should you go?

Phoenix scores 3.5 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Phoenix by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Phoenix: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 17% n=248 all destinations →
February 41% n=226 all destinations →
March 61% n=248 all destinations →
April 94% n=240 all destinations →
May 95% n=248 all destinations →
June 94% n=240 all destinations →
July 76% n=248 all destinations →
August 76% n=248 all destinations →
September 82% n=240 all destinations →
October 85% n=248 all destinations →
November 63% n=240 all destinations →
December 22% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Phoenix in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.