Florida · ECP

Panama City Beach weather this week

Panama City Beach scores 5.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7. 2 of those days carry thunderstorms. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good week.

5.6/10

Stormy

<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7c5533d7a1c0> genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 1 wet, 2 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.

Bright days 3 vs dull days 4. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.

We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

2 clear of 7 days · best run 2 days — Nature is in a mood — 2 stormy days in the window

The next 7 days in Panama City Beach

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (24%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Panama City Beach daily forecast, Mon 10 Aug to Wed 12 Aug. Best single day scores 9.7; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day	High	Low	Rain chance	Sky	Day score
Thu 6 Aug	91°F	76°F	5%	Partly cloudy partly	8.9 Partly cloudy and dry
Fri 7 Aug	89°F	76°F	13%	Overcast cloudy	8.3 Cloudy but warm & dry
Sat 8 Aug	94°F	78°F	24%	Thunderstorm storm	4.0 Storms - skip it
Sun 9 Aug	89°F	80°F	15%	Thunderstorm storm	4.0 Storms - skip it
Mon 10 Aug	89°F	81°F	10%	Rain showers wet	5.6 Rain showers - expect to get wet
Tue 11 Aug	89°F	82°F	15%	Clear clear	9.7 Clear but hot (89°F)
Wed 12 Aug	88°F	82°F	11%	Mainly clear clear	9.7 Clear and perfect

How this week got its score

7 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 2 stormy.
Trimmed mean of day scores 7.3 × 0.55 = 4.02
Worst day drag: worst day is 4.0 × 0.25 = 1.00 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 2/7 = 29% coverage × 0.20 = 0.57
Best single day is 9.7 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-10→2026-08-12) scores 7.3 on its own.
Legacy gate counted 5/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 2 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Panama City Beach

The nearest airport we price is ECP. From New York City that is about 2h 26m in the air out of EWR, 966 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Panama City Beach

2 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

Hyatt Place Panama City Beach - Beachfront

5-star · guest rating 9.0/10 · Hyatt Place · Five-Star Property

$282per night$845 total
Embassy Suites By Hilton Panama City Beach Resort

4-star · guest rating 8.5/10 · Embassy Suites Hotels

$157per night$470 total

So, should you go?

Panama City Beach scores 5.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7. 2 of those days carry thunderstorms. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Panama City Beach by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Panama City Beach: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month	Historically clear	Sample (n)
January	1%	n=248	all destinations →
February	4%	n=226	all destinations →
March	13%	n=248	all destinations →
April	45%	n=240	all destinations →
May	43%	n=248	all destinations →
June	18%	n=240	all destinations →
July	9%	n=248	all destinations →
August	11%	n=248	all destinations →
September	35%	n=240	all destinations →
October	52%	n=248	all destinations →
November	26%	n=240	all destinations →
December	4%	n=248	all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Panama City Beach in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.