California · STS
Napa weather this week
Napa scores 8.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7.
2 clear of 7 days · best run 7 days — Sunshine, day after day — 7 of 7 straight
The next 7 days in Napa
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (2%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80°F | 57°F | 1% | Fog wet | 7.0 Fog - expect to get wet |
|
| 83°F | 55°F | 2% | Fog wet | 7.0 Fog - expect to get wet |
|
| 87°F | 55°F | 2% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy and dry |
|
| 86°F | 56°F | 0% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear and perfect |
|
| 79°F | 56°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 81°F | 54°F | 0% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear and perfect |
|
| 82°F | 55°F | 0% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy and dry |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 2 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 2 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.8 × 0.55 = 4.85
- Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-06→2026-08-08) scores 8.0 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 7/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 2 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Napa
The nearest airport we price is STS. From New York City that is about 5h 36m in the air out of SWF, 2552 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Napa
3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
-
Stanly Ranch, Auberge Collection$1,741per night$5,222 total
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Archer Hotel Napa$502per night$1,506 total
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Napa River Inn$377per night$1,130 total
So, should you go?
Napa scores 8.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.
Napa by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 10% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 9% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 42% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 70% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 94% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 98% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 96% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 86% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 73% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 18% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Napa in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.