Florida · MIA
Miami weather this week
Miami scores 4.7 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. 2 of those days carry thunderstorms.
0 cloudy / 7 wet days, no clear days in 7 — Nature is in a mood — 2 stormy days in the window
The next 7 days in Miami
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (32%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85°F | 76°F | 29% | Heavy rain wet | 3.8 Heavy rain - expect to get wet |
|
| 86°F | 78°F | 28% | Violent showers wet | 4.0 Violent showers - expect to get wet |
|
| 88°F | 81°F | 32% | Thunderstorm storm | 4.0 Storms - skip it |
|
| 88°F | 84°F | 16% | Thunderstorm storm | 4.0 Storms - skip it |
|
| 88°F | 84°F | 12% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle - expect to get wet |
|
| 88°F | 84°F | 11% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle - expect to get wet |
|
| 89°F | 84°F | 17% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle - expect to get wet |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 5 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 2 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 5.2 × 0.55 = 2.86
- Worst day drag: worst day is 3.8 × 0.25 = 0.95 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/7 = 43% coverage × 0.20 = 0.86
- Best single day is 7.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-10→2026-08-12) scores 7.6 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 3/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 0 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Miami
The nearest airport we price is MIA. From New York City that is about 2h 40m in the air out of EWR, 1087 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Miami
3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
-
Mayfair House Hotel & Garden$220per night$660 total
-
InterContinental Miami by IHG$172per night$515 total
-
Kimpton EPIC Hotel by IHG$158per night$474 total
So, should you go?
Miami scores 4.7 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. 2 of those days carry thunderstorms. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
Miami by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 28% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 26% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 32% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 27% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 20% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 2% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 6% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 2% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 4% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 11% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 25% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 28% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Miami in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.