Alabama · PNS
Gulf Shores weather this week
Gulf Shores scores 8.2 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (5) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week.
The model gives this week 8.2 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 5 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
1 clear of 7 days · best run 7 days — The clouds are winning — 2 bright days out of 7
The next 7 days in Gulf Shores
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (22%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89°F | 77°F | 6% | Overcast cloudy | 8.3 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 86°F | 77°F | 22% | Overcast cloudy | 8.1 Cloudy with rain risk |
|
| 91°F | 76°F | 10% | Partly cloudy partly | 8.9 Partly cloudy and dry |
|
| 90°F | 79°F | 13% | Overcast cloudy | 8.1 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 90°F | 81°F | 18% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle - expect to get wet |
|
| 90°F | 82°F | 20% | Clear clear | 9.4 Clear but hot (90°F) |
|
| 90°F | 81°F | 19% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle - expect to get wet |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 2 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.1 × 0.55 = 4.44
- Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 9.4 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-08→2026-08-10) scores 8.2 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 5/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 1 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Gulf Shores
The nearest airport we price is PNS. From New York City that is about 2h 32m in the air out of EWR, 1014 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Gulf Shores
2 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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Embassy Suites By Hilton Gulf Shores Beach Resort$194per night$582 total
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The Lodge at Gulf State Park, A Hilton Hotel$234per night$703 total
So, should you go?
Gulf Shores scores 8.2 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (5) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
Gulf Shores by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 3% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 10% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 30% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 35% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 16% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 9% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 14% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 32% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 47% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 22% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 2% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Gulf Shores in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T15:36:15.048537Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.