California · MRY
Big Sur weather this week
Big Sur scores 8.3 out of 10 and has 3 genuinely clear days out of 7. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good week.
3 clear of 7 days · best run 7 days — The clouds are winning — 3 bright days out of 7
The next 7 days in Big Sur
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance in the window (2%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67°F | 58°F | 1% | Fog wet | 7.0 Fog - expect to get wet |
|
| 72°F | 56°F | 1% | Fog wet | 7.0 Fog - expect to get wet |
|
| 96°F | 75°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.6 Clear but hot (96°F) |
|
| 97°F | 79°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 7.1 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 86°F | 68°F | 2% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 82°F | 64°F | 2% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear and perfect |
|
| 77°F | 58°F | 1% | Mainly clear clear | 9.8 Clear and perfect |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 3 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 2 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.2 × 0.55 = 4.51
- Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-07→2026-08-09) scores 7.9 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 6/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 3 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Big Sur
The nearest airport we price is MRY. From New York City that is about 5h 36m in the air out of SWF, 2551 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Big Sur
3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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Post Ranch InnRate unavailablenot quoted at last refresh
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Alila Ventana Big SurRate unavailablenot quoted at last refresh
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Big Sur LodgeRate unavailablenot quoted at last refresh
So, should you go?
Big Sur scores 8.3 out of 10 and has 3 genuinely clear days out of 7. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
Big Sur by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 5% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 1% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 2% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 5% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 16% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 25% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 38% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 35% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 30% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 14% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 4% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Big Sur in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-06T13:36:08.059221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.